Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.006423 0.007182 0.008008 0.008977 0.010084 0.011313 0.012786
2025-03-09 0.005154 0.006174 0.007377 0.008911 0.010828 0.013161 0.016242
2025-03-16 0.004313 0.005397 0.006744 0.008557 0.010960 0.014073 0.018474
2025-03-23 0.003833 0.004970 0.006442 0.008515 0.011402 0.015346 0.021260
2025-03-30 0.003611 0.004834 0.006477 0.008888 0.012404 0.017454 0.025462
2025-04-06 0.003228 0.004429 0.006094 0.008618 0.012438 0.018153 0.027647
2025-04-13 0.002920 0.004097 0.005772 0.008388 0.012482 0.018841 0.029871
2025-04-20 0.002717 0.003894 0.005611 0.008371 0.012836 0.020030 0.033055
2025-04-27 0.002613 0.003825 0.005640 0.008643 0.013665 0.022070 0.037985
2025-05-04 0.002449 0.003650 0.005488 0.008605 0.013972 0.023256 0.041544
2025-05-11 0.002323 0.003522 0.005397 0.008654 0.014423 0.024734 0.045864
2025-05-18 0.002174 0.003347 0.005213 0.008527 0.014545 0.025620 0.049139
2025-05-25 0.002076 0.003252 0.005162 0.008638 0.015137 0.027511 0.054917
2025-06-01 0.001954 0.003109 0.005021 0.008578 0.015410 0.028836 0.059765
2025-06-08 0.001797 0.002895 0.004741 0.008239 0.015105 0.028955 0.061927
2025-06-15 0.001704 0.002782 0.004629 0.008199 0.015381 0.030305 0.067194
2025-06-22 0.001679 0.002787 0.004722 0.008555 0.016498 0.033598 0.077843
2025-06-29 0.001566 0.002629 0.004510 0.008297 0.016304 0.033969 0.081149
2025-07-06 0.001468 0.002491 0.004325 0.008077 0.016166 0.034446 0.084835
2025-07-13 0.001405 0.002412 0.004245 0.008061 0.016472 0.036003 0.091810
2025-07-20 0.001381 0.002403 0.004297 0.008321 0.017423 0.039251 0.104361
2025-07-27 0.001323 0.002327 0.004212 0.008285 0.017691 0.040838 0.112345
2025-08-03 0.001278 0.002274 0.004168 0.008332 0.018156 0.043001 0.122651